The Rice Company

 

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TRC Markets Mercosur Market Report

Second Half APRIL 2004

 

- Dollar recover slightly both in Argentina and brazil. In the case of Argentina, central bank made clear that intervention will be there when values reach $ 2.80. Current values, Argentina 2.84; Brasil 2.92. 

- Some rains marked the end of the dry summer. Although deficit remains there, good rains after eastern favored the initial labors for winter crops plantings. A minor increase on area, is expected for winter crops in all countries including Paraguay and Uruguay. These same rains kept delaying the harvest of the summer crops, specially the corn. Yields, both in corn and soybeans proved to be affected by the excessively dry end of the summer. 

- The over estimation of South American crops , with its consequent logistical mess never materialized as the lower yields refrained farmers from keeping their commercial activity on the high side. In fact, shipments during April proved disappointing: Maize Upriver: 1,288,000 Tons vrs 1,736,000 Tons on April 03. Soybeans Upriver: 1,430,000 Tons vrs. 1,591,000 Tons on April 03. Maize Paranagua: 228,000 Tons vrs 306,000 Tons on April 03. Soybeans Paranagua: 1,088,000.00 Tons vrs 1,335,000.00 on April 03. Which resulted in a tidy fashion trade, and practically no congestion in the main ports. South American Soybeans (and its products) remain relatively competitive, while Maize premiums adjusted upwards as a consequence of the smaller availability. 

CURRENT VALUES:				
				
ARG WHEAT	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	UPRIVER	165	VS	NB
MAY 04	NECO	167	VS	164
MAY 04	BBCA	170	VS	NB
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	167	VS	NB
JUNE 04	NECO	169	VS	165
JUNE 04	BBCA	172	VS	NB

ARG MAIZE	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	UPRIVER	2 N 	VS	- 5 N
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	5 N	VS	- 8 N
JULY 04	UPRIVER	8 N	VS	- 1 N

ARG SBEANS	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	UPRIVER	- 130 N	VS	NB
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	-120 N	VS	- 150 N
JULY 04	UPRIVER	-100 N	VS	- 140 N
				
ARG SBEANSPLLTS	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	UPRIVER	- 88	VS	- 90
JJ 04	UPRIVER	- 84	VS	- 87
AS 04	UPRIVER	- 49	VS	NB
OD 04	UPRIVER	- 18	VS	- 20
				
BRAZILIAN SBEANS	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	PARANAGUA	- 125	VS	- 140
JUNE 04	PARANAGUA	- 105	VS	NB
JJ 04	PARANAGUA	- 105	VS	NB
JULY 04	PARANAGUA	- 100	VS	- 120
AUG 04	PARANAGUA	-20	VS	-45
JUNE 04	RIO GRANDE	-105	VS	NB

BRAZILIAN SBEANSPLLTS 	PORT	SELLER	BUYER
				
MAY 04	PARANAGUA	- 70 	VS	- 73
JJ 04	PARANAGUA	- 66	VS	- 70
AS 04	PARANAGUA	- 34	VS	- 37
OD 04	PARANAGUA	3	VS	1
Previous reports:
April first
    

 

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