The Rice Company

 

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TRC Markets Mercosur Market Report

Second Half May 2004

 

Dollar remained steady in Brazil and Argentina at 3.15 and 2.95 respectively, allowing relatively fluent market. 

 

Weather conditions continued favorable for winter crops plantings, confirming expectations for a decent increase on areas, both in Brazil and Argentina, being the only feature cropswise as all harvesting is practically finished.

 

 

No question, the bottle-neck of logistics is the still unsolved mess created by Chinese rejection of Brazilian soybeans, which congested most of terminal elevators, flooded with stocks, and smashed soybeans and products´ premiums, which will remain depressed until some light is brought into this problem.

Corn shipments remained steady in Argentina, however market still shows competitive levels, on account of : High dollar, the tail of the harvest and good prospects for Brazilian winter crop, which is expected to bring some liquidity mid July onwards.

Argentine wheat looks heavy, somehow trapped between the very slow demand from Brazil and the good prospects from Northern Hemisphere. Market starts to show signs from the large carry – over that Argentina keeps holding.

 


CURRENT VALUES:				
				
				
CURRENT VALUES:				
				
				
ARG WHEAT	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	148	VS	NB
JUNE 04	NECO	149	VS	NB
JUNE 04	BBCA	152	VS	NB
JULY 04	UPRIVER	150	VS	NB
JULY 04	NECO	151	VS	NB
JULY 04	BBCA	153	VS	146
JAN 05	UPRIVER	140	VS	NB

ARG MAIZE	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	-2 N	VS	NB
JUNE 04	NECO	2 N	VS	NB
JUNE 04	BBCA	15 N	VS	NB
JULY 04	UPRIVER	0 N	VS	NB
				

ARG SBEANS	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	-140 N	VS	-170 N
JULY 04	UPRIVER	-130 N	VS	NB
JULY 04	BBCA	-120 N	VS	NB
				
ARG SBEANSPLLTS	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	UPRIVER	- 87	VS	NB
JULY 04	UPRIVER	- 85	VS	- 87
AS 04	UPRIVER	-60	VS	-64
OND 04	UPRIVER	-20	VS	NB
				
BRAZILIAN SBEANS	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	PARANAGUA	-120	VS	-135
JULY 04	PARANAGUA	-115	VS	-125
AUG 04	PARANAGUA	-60	VS	-70
JUNE 04	RIO GRANDE	-140	VS	NB

BRAZILIAN SBEANSPLLTS 	PORT	SELLER		BUYER
				
JUNE 04	PARANAGUA	-63	VS	-67
JULY 04	PARANAGUA	-62	VS	-65
AUG 04	PARANAGUA	-48	VS	-50
AS 04	PARANAGUA	-43	VS	-45
OND 04	PARANAGUA	-6	VS	-8

Previous reports: April first | April second | May First

 

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